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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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i am searching for the companies that i like that can thrive in this environment with the fiscal cliff and a recession a possibility. look, u.it it's a possibility. today i was throwing a surprise party for amgen. you know what, miscafiscal clif fiscal cliff, we're still having an amgen party here. inappropriate balloon movement there. they make all kinds of drugs for serious illnesses. it has 70 products in development that are starting phase three clinical trials in the early part of next year. phase three means it's getting through fruition. amgen could double earnings per share over the next eight years. that is much better than a sharp stick in the retina. amgen reported on october 23rd after the close and the company delivered spectacular results and was a true triple play. came in $1.67, and revenues 5.9% year over year. when the street was looking for 4.25 billion. and four-year guidance, substantially higher than the analysts expecting. those were fabulous numbers. no surprise that the stock shot up from $87.32, to nearly 90 in after hours trading. however, the next day amgen
i am searching for the companies that i like that can thrive in this environment with the fiscal cliff and a recession a possibility. look, u.it it's a possibility. today i was throwing a surprise party for amgen. you know what, miscafiscal clif fiscal cliff, we're still having an amgen party here. inappropriate balloon movement there. they make all kinds of drugs for serious illnesses. it has 70 products in development that are starting phase three clinical trials in the early part of next...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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my question to you is, in this environment, with the economic environment, with the possibility of a compromise regarding the fiscal cliff, vis-a-vis the increased revenues and cuts in spending, what is your analysis and your opinion on the tax free municipal bonds at this juncture? >> i think you have to buy them. the individual is going to go right back to them and move them up. i think that's a great place to be. don't touch them. i want you to buy them. brilliant idea. now we go to paul in louisiana. paul? >> caller: hey, jim. thanks for taking my call. >> no problem. >> caller: i've been just getting in and sticking with a stock itw. i've been following it for a couple months. they seem to be doing pretty well. i gather there is going to be a change in the leadership. can you comment on their future? >> david spear passed away which is -- he was a terrific guy. this is a very well run company. i suspect that they won't really skip a beat. it's always been a favorite of mine. i would continue to own it. i wouldn't buy it off this. he was a good man. i think it's fine. i think it
my question to you is, in this environment, with the economic environment, with the possibility of a compromise regarding the fiscal cliff, vis-a-vis the increased revenues and cuts in spending, what is your analysis and your opinion on the tax free municipal bonds at this juncture? >> i think you have to buy them. the individual is going to go right back to them and move them up. i think that's a great place to be. don't touch them. i want you to buy them. brilliant idea. now we go to...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this, how can i own a stock when the sales are down 26%? i'll make one analogy and help people think about how to value this company. we took a stake in wendy's, why did people not like wendy's? i get a chance we come back after a commercial, i'm happy to stay. >> i think we're going. >> give me one minute and i'm happy to come back another time. wendy's, people hated the management, there was a fast growing company called tim horton's inside wendys. we separated and the stock doubled. we have this fast growing retail inside jcpenney, profitable and high margins and the rest of jcpenney is shrinking. it's hard to look at it on
shops in this consolidated apple like checkout, iphone, anyone can check you out, it's efficient, nice environment. it's the apple store customer interface combined with the best brands of the world in a small geography. we had $250 a square foot in sales with the traffic down 12%. >> for your sake and for ron johnson's sake i hope this works and i love a great come back story. >> i want to leave our viewers with one thing. the biggest problem people have with something like this,...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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and low growth environment. that makes sense to me. >> aren't financials a leadership group? if they can't lead doesn't that bode poor for the market? >> we still like financials. i think they're underowned. >> you disagree with the premise? >> we have nim headwind -- >> nim? >> i thought the meant the national institute of mental health. >> maybe, maybe. you can't tell the difference sometimes. >> you've downgraded the financials. >> still overweight insurance. neutral on the banks for a while, the regional banks for a while. it was more specific to the capital market sense of the games, the investment banks, the brokerage firms, asset managers, that kind of area. >> if we get a deal, how much does the market rally? >> i know a lot of clients say they'll chase this market up 2%. they want to be flat. if the market gets a big bid, they'll chase it. i think you'll get a beta chase. i think it's quite possible to be 1430 by year end. >> do you chase it? >> i think if we get a deal mid to late december, that's when
and low growth environment. that makes sense to me. >> aren't financials a leadership group? if they can't lead doesn't that bode poor for the market? >> we still like financials. i think they're underowned. >> you disagree with the premise? >> we have nim headwind -- >> nim? >> i thought the meant the national institute of mental health. >> maybe, maybe. you can't tell the difference sometimes. >> you've downgraded the financials. >> still...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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when you look at the stocks best managed companies perform well in all environments. they shouldn't be down 4% to 6%. >> how helpful do you think cnbc has been in the rise? >> i think it is interesting to have some -- you all have a good voice and are putting it out there and advising. you look at the "wall street journal" and the ceos are saying the same thing saying get this done. we can't have a double digit decline in gdp. let's fix it. >> i have a great voice. i think out of all of them to me u.s. bank corp is the most stable one. if you had to pick one of the banks for the people playing our home game which do you go with? >> bb&t. i think it is a well managed company. they were off by 5% or so. they had some fundamental issues but got really overplayed here in the down fall. probably 200 to 300 basis points as we come to the conclusion that the fiscal cliff is not going to happen. >> is 23% enough that it makes sense why people are selling off the dividend paying stocks or is that a level that you say on this selloff i am ready to buy? >> so that is a great que
when you look at the stocks best managed companies perform well in all environments. they shouldn't be down 4% to 6%. >> how helpful do you think cnbc has been in the rise? >> i think it is interesting to have some -- you all have a good voice and are putting it out there and advising. you look at the "wall street journal" and the ceos are saying the same thing saying get this done. we can't have a double digit decline in gdp. let's fix it. >> i have a great voice. i...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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it's hard to imagine enterprises switching to that type of environment. >> that's my point exactly. i think may blew it on the enterprise side. >> they may be able to get leverage with consumers and get buzz going. i don't think it's going to be earth shattering. i don't think it's a bad product either. >> damned if you do, damned if you don't. if it was geared toward enterprised they would say they're not going to stack up to apple in any way, shape or form. >> put a product out people wanted to buy, it wouldn't matter. >> the biggest issue is the apps. people buy the consumer side for the apps. the app store, they didn't have it. they didn't have anything that was even close to being competitive with apple. >> right. let's move on. we got to hit cisco. rising in the after-hour session. better than expected earnings. mary thompson has the details. >> we have guidance from cisco on the current quarter. it expects earnings between 47, 48 cents a share which would put it in line with estimates. expecting revenue growth of 3.5% to 5.5% in the boundary of estimates of about 4.5%. of cou
it's hard to imagine enterprises switching to that type of environment. >> that's my point exactly. i think may blew it on the enterprise side. >> they may be able to get leverage with consumers and get buzz going. i don't think it's going to be earth shattering. i don't think it's a bad product either. >> damned if you do, damned if you don't. if it was geared toward enterprised they would say they're not going to stack up to apple in any way, shape or form. >> put a...
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Nov 14, 2012
11/12
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especially the thing about the ip spending environment, it's a tough spending environment. security is one of the few sub sectors that's holding up well and that's kind of a glimmer of hope in a tough macro. >> i presume they'd have to pony up, though. daniel, good to see you. thank you for joining us. >> looking for silver lining amid the cyber security storm clouds. >> one story to leave you with, in queensland in australia, earlier this morning they got a full solar eclipse, completely blocked out the sun at 6:39 local time. we might just see it before we go. >> wow. it's amazing. >> there we go. we've got it. >> and on that lunar shot, kelly and i will say goodbye. "squawk box" is up next. >> we'll see you back here tomorrow. >>> the looming fiscal cliff. some of the nation's best-known ceos are headed to the white house today to meet the with the president. >>> on the economic agenda, key reads on the consumer and inflation and that happens before the bell. in corporate news, cisco's first quarter results beat the street, but ceo john chambers cautions of flat earnings
especially the thing about the ip spending environment, it's a tough spending environment. security is one of the few sub sectors that's holding up well and that's kind of a glimmer of hope in a tough macro. >> i presume they'd have to pony up, though. daniel, good to see you. thank you for joining us. >> looking for silver lining amid the cyber security storm clouds. >> one story to leave you with, in queensland in australia, earlier this morning they got a full solar...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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whitman said it would be a fix and rebuild year in a worsening macroeconomic environment. she said to expect a broad based profit decline across most businesses, but especially in enterprise services where revenue would drop 11% to 13%. operating margins near zero. that set as 24rethreshold for everything else. hp needs to keep the other business declines in the mid single digits or it will look like the turn around will take longer to turn up. >> joining us is stephanie link at the street.com. thanks very much for joining us. plenty withere to pick up on. what do you think will happen with revenues? >> hi, ross. i think that there's a chance at least on on the bottom line that the company will meet and actually could even beat consensus just because of cost controls. so the headline print of earnings might be better than expected. but to your point of revenues, i definitely think they will be below plan. some are expecting as low as a billion miss. i don't know if it that's the case. but clearly with 50% of their total revenues being pcs and printers, they have problems n
whitman said it would be a fix and rebuild year in a worsening macroeconomic environment. she said to expect a broad based profit decline across most businesses, but especially in enterprise services where revenue would drop 11% to 13%. operating margins near zero. that set as 24rethreshold for everything else. hp needs to keep the other business declines in the mid single digits or it will look like the turn around will take longer to turn up. >> joining us is stephanie link at the...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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the best advice that you're giving them right now, given the atmosphere that we are facing and the environment that we are going to face in january? >> first thing i would remind them is to expect the up expected. a couple of years ago, we were all stunned when president obama signed into law the tax relief act that extended bush tax cuts and increased transfer tax exemptions to historic levels. we are now looking at something very different and we need to prepare for taxes rising, but also, take advantage of certain opportunities today. as you say, we have got about six weeks left to get it done. >> let talk about some of those advantages, because it's such a scary story really. >> yes. >> if you've had a decent year in the market and you have some gapes, a lot of people are talking about apple, for instance, there's some thought that maybe if you have a pretty decent gape in apple, do you take those profits this year? do you accelerate your income at this point? >> well, think about what's happening to capital gapes tax rates. we are at 15% today, slated to go up to 20% in january, plus you
the best advice that you're giving them right now, given the atmosphere that we are facing and the environment that we are going to face in january? >> first thing i would remind them is to expect the up expected. a couple of years ago, we were all stunned when president obama signed into law the tax relief act that extended bush tax cuts and increased transfer tax exemptions to historic levels. we are now looking at something very different and we need to prepare for taxes rising, but...
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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so without clarity where the euro area goes, the environment will be quite difficult. p. >> okay. thanks very much for that. now, he mentioned weakness in europe. that's extending to the u.s. we are seeing futures trying to rebond here, but again, we saw levels of decline in the range of 1.3 to 1.5 yesterday for the major bourses. this morning we're really only getting about 25 points in rebound for the dow jones industrial average. which is thousand sitting at 12,559. the nasdaq and s&p are also showing a little about the of a r rebit of a rebound, but not huge moves. investors digest the growth tigs or lack thereof. spain is trying to move to the up side adding almost 0.3%, so a little better than last time we checked in. the other three down. as we're learning about the slowing of the german economy and the ftse 100, shedding 0.4%, below the 5700 mark. now, we are seeing in the uk a little better, but broadly speaking a mixed picture. we started off seeing both spain and italy moving to the down side on the bond side. now italy doing a little bit better. 4.95%. the yield fallin
so without clarity where the euro area goes, the environment will be quite difficult. p. >> okay. thanks very much for that. now, he mentioned weakness in europe. that's extending to the u.s. we are seeing futures trying to rebond here, but again, we saw levels of decline in the range of 1.3 to 1.5 yesterday for the major bourses. this morning we're really only getting about 25 points in rebound for the dow jones industrial average. which is thousand sitting at 12,559. the nasdaq and...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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and this kind ever environment is good for gold much as india we expect the same scenario very possibly to be unfolding shortly in the united states and in europe where the quantitative easing policies aren't really working to stimulate the economy or they're doing really creating inflation. probably what the countries have to do in order to avoid a debt default because most countries have lost control of the debt situation. so the only way to avoid the default in our view would probably be to print to devalue the debt but this real terms, that means inflation. so inflation is very much the main focus of gold for us and that's yes with think it will go a lot higher from here. >> martin, what then is your price target for gold by the end of, say, 2013? >> firstly we don't sell short price targets. we've seen this 2008 that sometimes also what many people should actually see or recognize earlier possibly as a safe haven, sometimes they can also take a hit if you have shorter term deleveraging. so let's say if spain or italy was to default early next year, then you you might see first reac
and this kind ever environment is good for gold much as india we expect the same scenario very possibly to be unfolding shortly in the united states and in europe where the quantitative easing policies aren't really working to stimulate the economy or they're doing really creating inflation. probably what the countries have to do in order to avoid a debt default because most countries have lost control of the debt situation. so the only way to avoid the default in our view would probably be to...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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they'd like to know what environment they're operating in. they effect them personally and the families of the people that work for them. >> can you get a franchise alone? is it easier than it was a year ago? >> yeah, credit market has loosened up a bit for our franchisees and we're fortunate our model in the investment on the investment side that we don't have to be highly leveraged and our franchisees don't have to be highly leveraged going in. they're able to pay investment out of cash but whenner this borrow money they're getting sba loans out there, smaller banks but it is tougher and it affects their growth. that's for sure. >> the smell is killing me here, i mean in a good way. it's 5:00 somewhere or noon somewhere. bob wright, thank you. we appreciate your time this morning and keep it short. >> are you going for the sub? which way? >> i don't know. >> i could eat it but i know he's an ohio state fan. go blue this weekend. i'm going to holdoff. >>> when we come back we'll talk about betting on a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. caesar'
they'd like to know what environment they're operating in. they effect them personally and the families of the people that work for them. >> can you get a franchise alone? is it easier than it was a year ago? >> yeah, credit market has loosened up a bit for our franchisees and we're fortunate our model in the investment on the investment side that we don't have to be highly leveraged and our franchisees don't have to be highly leveraged going in. they're able to pay investment out...
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Nov 13, 2012
11/12
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we have called here, is taking the capabilities horizontallism you will see it on ios in the android environment there san opportunity to step forward and say because of the years of investment, we have a leading capability in the area of mapping and location service. it's important for us we get it in front of as many people as possible because these types of platforms benefit to scale. >> you will see a day when licensing could pay for your r and d in maps. there is a case where licensing is already paying and then some for our r and d in maps, already profitable today. >> lumia sales, how are they doing really quick? >> very pleased wither slip, lineups at at&t stores, sellouts in russia, heard from australia, they are doing great. early days are positive. we have a lot of work ahead. >> russia and australia, you need north america to make it a hit. thank you, stephen elon for taking the time. >> thank you, jon and stephen. >>> up next, making the bull case for jc penny. yeah, the bull case. before that, we have got to get fresh off the tell for example mary torchson, the market flash. >> you
we have called here, is taking the capabilities horizontallism you will see it on ios in the android environment there san opportunity to step forward and say because of the years of investment, we have a leading capability in the area of mapping and location service. it's important for us we get it in front of as many people as possible because these types of platforms benefit to scale. >> you will see a day when licensing could pay for your r and d in maps. there is a case where...
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good numbers today. walmart had a great move. and now its great move i think has run its course. >> an amazing chart, if you go back to walmart stocks, the dip in the stock, it was the bryberry bottom for this quarter. i don't know if we're setting up for something better than anticipation but the head of u.s. walmart said november sales started ahead of plans. and they have got some extra sales thanks to lay away which has been a very popular program for retailers of late. >> we used to get monthly comps from all these retailers. >> those were the old days. >> i think the problem with wam mart, frankly is, the stock w
we think the holiday season is going to be competitive, we think we're still in a competitive retail environment and economic factors are making things somewhat difficult for our customers and that's why we're getting to those numbers. the stock had come in and it's going to again today. >> a lot of investors are thinking that this gigantic move and pull back appropriately to some average and was ready to blast off. look, you've got target nipping, you've got dollar tree reporting good...
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Nov 12, 2012
11/12
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that is a real scoop in an environment where there are no deals, david brought us a very good scoop. >> that's why you haven't participated in any of this. there are no other deals. this was the only one. >> not many needles in the hay stack. >> david found the only one. thank you for bringing it here, david. boyd jeffries name. >> what was it exposure in europe? >> egan had all sorts of rhymes and reasons for that company falling apart. >> we'll talk about shipping right now, from i-phones to apparel, cnbc's senior talent producer, lori ann larocco, our staff, incredible producer and her book "dynasties of the sea," and lori ann, reading through this, we know how important shipping is, we talk about it every day but there were things i didn't realize how much of the things in our homes are brought to us from ships. >> 92% of everything in a household has been on a ship and ever since superstorm sandy we've all realized how important shipping is as we're all going through this gasoline crisis. it's really amazing in terms of the wide breadth that the shipping industry has on the econ
that is a real scoop in an environment where there are no deals, david brought us a very good scoop. >> that's why you haven't participated in any of this. there are no other deals. this was the only one. >> not many needles in the hay stack. >> david found the only one. thank you for bringing it here, david. boyd jeffries name. >> what was it exposure in europe? >> egan had all sorts of rhymes and reasons for that company falling apart. >> we'll talk about...
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Nov 20, 2012
11/12
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340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly we have some fantastic product coming up and i think i've been clear that companies come in on the backs of terrific products and those will kick in in the second half. >> many would say that they're going to have to. to those that would say what you're really do is managing a declining business because at the end of the day the rise of the tablet is actually the fall of the pc and printing because people just carry this thing around with them everywhere. how do you challenge that assumption that really all you're doing is managing a declining business. you may be managing it well. that's what it is. >>
340 to 360 a share but we guide what we think is realistic for q-1 which is a tough macro economic environment. a lot of our savings in terms of our savings program will be back end loaded because a lot of that is labor now moving to europe where it is much more difficult to separate people and takes longer and then some of our nonlabor savings we're instituting that executional excellence around skew reduction supply chain and those will kick in in the second half but perhaps most importantly...
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Nov 19, 2012
11/12
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technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock international is teaming up with yoko ono. and why hunger for the imagine there's no hunger campaign. horn $4.5 would million has been raised during the past five years and the president and ce off of the hard rock cafe has been very involved in this. tell us a little bit it. >> thanks for having me. this is a ram we've beprogram w running for many years. there are a billion people beneath poverty and hunger level in the world. and the program really is a program that enjoins why hunger, yoko ono and ourselves and we encourage our staff and our customers to basically provide funding around this holiday season so t
technologies allow natural gas producers to supply affordable, cleaner energy, while protecting our environment. across america, these technologies protect air - by monitoring air quality and reducing emissions... ...protect water - through conservation and self-contained recycling systems... ... and protect land - by reducing our footprint and respecting wildlife. america's natural gas... domestic, abundant, clean energy to power our lives... that's smarter power today. >>> hard rock...